Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.080571 0.093165 0.107075 0.123579 0.142629 0.163933 0.189573
2026-01-04 0.061722 0.078791 0.099560 0.126696 0.161236 0.203765 0.260179
2026-01-11 0.051943 0.070832 0.095349 0.129511 0.175926 0.236872 0.323136
2026-01-18 0.044534 0.064128 0.090952 0.130367 0.186885 0.265139 0.382004
2026-01-25 0.038081 0.057492 0.085322 0.128147 0.192495 0.285788 0.431758
2026-02-01 0.032386 0.051010 0.078841 0.123478 0.193418 0.299090 0.471484
2026-02-08 0.029064 0.047587 0.076333 0.124217 0.202179 0.324499 0.531829
2026-02-15 0.026172 0.044418 0.073747 0.124344 0.209703 0.348395 0.591957
2026-02-22 0.023946 0.042030 0.072067 0.125615 0.219010 0.375805 0.660451
2026-03-01 0.021363 0.038703 0.068409 0.123035 0.221344 0.391563 0.710406
2026-03-08 0.019170 0.035789 0.065110 0.120636 0.223585 0.407136 0.761325
2026-03-15 0.017743 0.034091 0.063751 0.121518 0.231710 0.433742 0.834815
2026-03-22 0.016998 0.033627 0.064673 0.126893 0.249065 0.479534 0.950489
2026-03-29 0.016003 0.032579 0.064401 0.129987 0.262474 0.519467 1.059713
2026-04-05 0.015088 0.031571 0.064074 0.132886 0.275723 0.560302 1.175025
2026-04-12 0.014048 0.030182 0.062830 0.133764 0.284915 0.593923 1.279143
2026-04-19 0.012806 0.028227 0.060218 0.131486 0.287244 0.613697 1.356170
2026-04-26 0.011471 0.025918 0.056621 0.126695 0.283644 0.620619 1.406046
2026-05-03 0.010750 0.024880 0.055622 0.127454 0.292220 0.654357 1.518793
2026-05-10 0.010045 0.023798 0.054406 0.127583 0.299365 0.685610 1.629195
2026-05-17 0.009490 0.023000 0.053741 0.128888 0.309313 0.724069 1.760409
2026-05-24 0.008708 0.021576 0.051497 0.126241 0.309676 0.740542 1.841035
2026-05-31 0.008012 0.020284 0.049425 0.123779 0.310206 0.757411 1.924388